Skip to main content
6:00 am
he was born yesterday on staten island. mom and dad are doing great, but they don't have power. but they have a brand-new beautiful baby. >> brian: i believe he has fantasy team. >> steve: see you tomorrow, everybody. year-and-a-half on the trail, a grueling primary season, we're less than 24 hours from election day. that is live event, orlando, florida. governor romney set to take the stage after connie mack finishes. jeb bush, the former governor behind him. mack running for the senate position against bill nelson in that state as governor romney and president obama make one final appeal to voters. it has come down to this. good morning, everybody. i'm bill homer. live in "america's newsroom.". martha: i'm martha that mccallum. candidates are crisscrossing the states and getting every bit of energy and looking to some person's eyes who may
6:01 am
change their mind after they do this. look at that map. governor romney makes five stops in four states. president obama holds four rallies in three states. as they try to get the surrogates everywhere they can to try to make it happen. >> we've journeyed far and wide in this great campaign for america's future and now we're almost home. one final push will get us there. >> i know a bunch of you already voted. but if you haven't, there's still time. bill: some of those events happened after midnight late last night. chief political correspondent carl cameron on the trail, live in florida. you're in orlando right now. if you believe the polls this race is absolutely razor tight. what are you hearing from inside the romney camp how they are feeling about the possibility of victory in this race? >> reporter: optimism, confidence but they recognize there's still a great deal of work to do and
6:02 am
what we're seeing today on this final day of campaigning really sort of explains the entire dynamic for the last 18 months for the romney campaign. we start the day with florida. here he is on the stage. the backbone of any republican winning strategy. next after ohio we'll have two stops in virginia. take-back state for mr. obama who won that in '08. a traditional republican leaning one and uber-state of ohio, romney if he wins there could well end up in the white us who. he will wrap up tonight in manchester, new hampshire wherer won the first primary. a key battleground state that could end up close to a tie. romney insiders anywhere there might be a photo finish could be in ohio, excuse me, new hampshire or perhaps ohio. romney will possibly even campaign tomorrow in ohio tomorrow, bill. the campaign hasn't made any decisions. there are logistical questions about whether or not they can get the candidate and the press with
6:03 am
whim there. they're even considering campaigning on election day so to leave nothing on the table. you see the republican nominee mitt romney, 2012 at the podium what will be his final campaign stop in florida. he will be on stage there. you see departing, jeb bush, whose brother ended in historic tie with al gore in 2000. there is tremendous amount of ends enthusiasm in the republican and little bit of apprehension in the republican campaign itself. mitt romney's aides know they will need a huge turnout for what is bunch of tossup states that moved the needle on. >> this is fabulous. what a way to start an election. [cheers and applause] and i am so looking forward to getting a chance to work with sfwhort connie mack. you have got to make that happen. [cheers and applause] and i also appreciate the
6:04 am
great leadership of jeb bush, governor jeb bush. one the best this country has ever known. thank you to governor scott for welcoming us here. lieutenant governor carroll. thanks to jeff atwater. jeff is the chief financial officer of the state. he has been the co-chair of my effort along with adam putnam, the commissioner of agriculture. we appreciate their work. will weatherford, speaker of the house addressed you. i appreciate his support. senator mel martinez is here. appreciate mel being here. i didn't mention congressman john mica. where is john hanging out here? [cheers and applause] hi, there. quite a gathering today. [cheering] this is, quite a welcome that you provided me. you're -- [cheering]
6:05 am
your voices are not just heard in this hangar. they're being heard all over the nation. [cheering] and even though ann is in a different city this morning they are being felt, your voices in both of our hearts i want you to know how much we appreciate all that you have done, all the doors you knocked on, all the phone calls you made and the the fact that you voted early. i saw how many hands went up when you were asked. that is very good. some of you put signs in your yard. [cheering] some of you put signs in your neighbor's yard. and, i know how many as well have talked to coworkers and tried to convince people to vote for paul ryan and me. we have one job left and that's to make sure on election day we get, make certain that everybody who's qualified to vote gets out to vote. we need every single vote in florida.
6:06 am
[cheering]. now what makes this rally and your work so inspiring is that you are here because you care about america. this is, this is a campaign about america and about the future we're going to leave our children. we thank you. we ask you to stay at it, all the way, all the way to victory on tuesday night. [cheers and applause] tomorrow we begin a new tomorrow. tomorrow we begin a better tomorrow. this nation is going to begin to change for the better tomorrow. your work is making a difference. the people of the world are watching. the people of america are watching. we can begin a better tomorrow's weather today and with the help of the people in florida that's exactly what's going to happen. [cheers and applause]
6:07 am
now there may be some of your friends and family members who haven't made up their mind yet who they are going to vote for. so i would ask them to look beyond the speeches and beyond the attacks and even beyond all the ads. look to the record. you see talk is cheap but a record, that's real and it's earned with real effort. and so, i mean the president promised a lot of change but change can't be measured in speeches. has to be measured in achievements. and four years ago canned today the obama promised to do oh so much, but he has fallen oh so very short. you know some of these things. he said he would be a post-partisan president. he has been most partisan attacking dividings, blaming. not republicans he refused to listen to. he refused to listen to independent voices. would focus on creating jobs and he focused on obamacare
6:08 am
and that killed jobs. he was going to cut the federal deficit in half. he doubled it. he said unemployment by now would be at 5.2%. last friday we learned it was 7.9%. now that's -- [booing] that is nine million jobs short of what he promised. unemployment today is higher than when barack obama was elected president. think of that. he promised that he would propose a plan to save social security and medicare. he didn't. never even proposed a plan. instead he took $716 billion out of medicare and used it to pay for obamacare though we didn't want it. he also said he would lower the health insurance premiums of the average family in america this year. we would be down $2500 a year. anybody see that yet? >> no!. >> actually they're up $3,000 a year. think what impact that has
6:09 am
on a middle income family in america. of course the average american family pays $2,000 a year more for gasoline than they did when the president was elected. [booing] one more thing that he mentioned. he said he would reach across the aisle on the most important issues that the country faced. do you realize he has not met on the economy or on the budget, sequestration or on jobs with either the republican leader or the of the house or the republican leader of the senate since july. that is not working across the aisle. that is not bridging the divide. it is making the divide wider. so now we have a lot of debates in this country and not as republican, as democrats but as americans that look at issues that are before them and you watch what happened in the country over the last four years with an independent voice. you hope that president obama would live up to his promise to bring people together and to solve problems.
6:10 am
he hasn't. i will. [cheers and applause] and you know why he fell so short? you know why he fell so short of what he promised? he cared, he cared more about a liberal agenda than about repairing the economy. the obamacare create new jobs? >> no!. >> did his war on coal and gas and oil put new jobs in the marketplace? >> no!. >> did the dodd-frank regulations help banks make more loans to people? >> no!. >> does raising taxes create more jobs? >>. >> no!. >> does an avalanche of new regulations help small business build new jobs? >> no!. >> you passed the test. i mean all --
6:11 am
[cheering] look i'm happy to sit down and discuss this with anybody who would like to but almost every measure the president took made it harder for the economy to recover. and it hurt our fellow americans. we're not just talking about a handful of people. we're talking 23 million americans are struggling to find a good job. one in six americans are poorer. and the middle class, even those that have jobs, the middle class is being squeezed with lower incomes, every year, and higher price for everything from health insurance to gasoline and electricity bills. it has been tough for middle income americans, even those that are employed. this weekend i spoke with a wife of a 60-year-old man. he has worked as a welder for 40 years. but he just got laid off. and she said what's he going to do? she asked what i could do to help him. she made it very clear
6:12 am
they're not looking for a government check. he wants a job. the president thinks, the president thinks more government is the answer. no, mr. president, more jobs, that is the answer for america. [cheering] i mean the question of this election, the question of this election really comes down to this. do the people of america want four more years like the last four years or -- >> no!. >> or do you want real change finally? [cheering] [shouting] >> one more day! one more day!. one more day!. >> i think you know that the president problem missed change but he couldn't deliver change. i not only promise change, i
6:13 am
have a record of achieving it. i actually -- [cheering] i actually built a business. i helped turn around another business. i helped get the olympics back on track. and then with a democrat legislature, 85% democrat, i helped turn my state from deficit to surplus, from job losses to job growth, and from lower take-home pay to higher take-home pay. that's, that's why i'm running for president. i know how to change the course the nation is on. i know how to get us to a balance laed budget and how to build jobs and make rising take-home pay happen again. see accomplishing real change is not just something i talk about. it is something i have done and it is something i will do as the president of the united states. [cheering]
6:14 am
>> mitt! mitt!. mitt!. mitt!. >> if you believe we can do better, if you believe america should be on a better course, if you're tired of being tired, then i ask you to vote for real change. paul ryan and i will bring real change to america from day one. when i'm elected of course the economy and the american job market will continue to be stagnant. but i won't waste anytime complaining about my predecessor. [cheering] and i won't spend my effort trying to pass partisan legislation unrelated to jobs and growth. from day one i will go to work to help americans get back to work. and you know people all over
6:15 am
the country are responding to paul ryan and my five part plan to create more jobs and rising take-home pay. part one of that, is taking full advantages of our energy resources, our oil, our coal, our gas, nuclear, renewables. [cheering] >> on day one, on day one i will act to increase the number of leases and permits to drill on federal lands. [cheering] >> i will act to speed approval of the keystone pipeline from canada. [cheering] number two, i will move to boost trade particularly with latin america. it is an enormous opportunity for us. we need to take advantage of it. and i will finally designate china as a currency manipulator. we all have to play by the same rules. [cheering] now third, i'm going to send to congress a retraining reform act to make sure
6:16 am
every worker can get skills they need for a good job. number four i will tackle out of control spending. i will send congress the first of several fundamental reforms. this first one will be called the down payment on fiscal sanity act. and it is going to do something that has been spoken of but never done. that is we're not just going to slow down the rate of federal spending. we're actually going to cut federal spending and get us back to a balanced budget. [cheering] i'm not, i'm not just going to take office on january 20th. i'm going to take responsibility for that office as well. [cheering] and number five, i'm going to act to boost small business and all business by the way. i will issue executive orders aimed at straightening out problems
6:17 am
that are holding the economy back. the first will grant waivers from obamacare to help begin its repeal. [cheering] the second will launch a sweeping review of all obama era regulations with an eye to eliminating or repairing those killing jobs. and by the way, for the first time, for the first time in four years every entrepreneur, every small business person, every job creator, is going to know that the president of the united states and our government likes them and likes the jobs they help bring to americans. [cheering] see paul ryan and i believe in limited government instead of limiting the dreams of our fellow americans. now our choice tomorrow is going to lead to one of two
6:18 am
very different outcomes. and people across the country i think have the information they need to know where those outcomes would be. they can judge what kind of america we'll have based upon who they vote for. if for instance, they were able to reelect president obama, he will still be unable to work with congress and the people there. because he is ignored them in the past. he has attacked them. he has blamed them. the debt ceiling that comes up from time to time, it will come up again. there will be threats of shutdown and default. of course that scares the heck out of the economy, freezes job growth. i think the president was right the other day when he said he can't change washington from the inside. only from the outside. we're going to give him that chance. [cheers and applause] that's his way. my way is quite different. when i'm elected i will work with republicans and democrats in congress.
6:19 am
i'm going to meet regularly with leaders in both parties. and i'm going to endeavor to find good men, good women on both sides of the aisle that care more about the country than they do about politics and they're there and we can make that happen. [cheering] now there is no question but you know that regardless of what he says, if the president gets reelected he will con continue his war on coal and oil and natural gas. i have a very different path. when i'm elected we'll change occurs on energy, to build jobs, to help put the price at the pump, we'll achieve north american energy independence in eight years. [cheers and applause] if the president were to be reelected, i would be convinced he would continue to crush small business with his plan to raise taxes on them, to force employees to join unions whether they want to or not, to expand
6:20 am
regulations and to impose obamacare which also kills jobs. i care about small business. i see that they are the means for people to fulfill their dreams. last week i met a woman in richmond, virginia, named rhoda elliot. she has been running her family restaurant for a number birof years, bill's barbecue. a business that has been in her family for some 82 years. at the high point she had 200 employees. she just closed it down. and she told me it was the obama era taxes regulations, obamacare and obama era economy that put her out of business. and she teared up as she was talking about it. this wasn't about money. this is about the future for her family, and the future for the families of the employees that worked there. i want to help the hundreds of thousands of dreamers like rhoda and i will.
6:21 am
[cheering] >> mitt!. mitt! you know, if the president were to be reelected he will say, he will improve our schools but he will do what his largest campaign supporters, the public sector unions insist on and your kids will have the same schools with the same results. when i'm president, having learned lessons from jeb bush and the experience of florida i'm going to be the voice of the children and the parents across the nation because there is no union for the pta. [cheering] i want to make sure that the kids of the nation get what your kids here get. i want to make sure they receive the information about the school their kids are going to know whether it is succeeding or failing.
6:22 am
i want every child to have the choice they need to pick the school where their child can succeed. [cheering] now i'm proud of the fact in my state we took our schools to the top of the nation. number one of all 50 states. but we did that by working together, republicans and democrats. but listening to the good advice of our best teachers, who dedicated their lives to helping others. listening to parents and always putting students and their education first. and i will do the same thing as president. now these last, these last few months of the campaign, you've noted that, we have gathered strength. it has become a movement across the country. [cheering] you see it, you see it not just in the size of the crowds that gather and the energy and passion but also in the shared conviction we have. it made me strife even more to be worthy of your support
6:23 am
and to campaign as i would govern, to speak for the aspirations of all americans. i learned as governor of massachusetts that the best achievements are shared achievements. i learned the respect and good will go a long way and are usually returned in kind. that is how i will conduct myself as president. i will bring people together. i won't just represent one party. i will represent one nation. [cheering] throughout the campaign, using every argument you can think of president obama has tried to convince you the last four years have been a success. [booing] and so his plan for the next four years is take all the ideas from his first four years, you know the stimulus, the tax increase, the borrowing, obamacare, and do them all over again. [booing] he calls this plan, forward.
6:24 am
i call it, forewarned. [cheers and applause] that same path means $20 trillion in debt. it means continuing crippling unemployment. it means depressed home values, stagnant take-home pay, and a devastated military. unless we change course, we may be looking another recession as well. and it his closing argument, did you hear this the other day? president obama asked his supporters to vote for revenge. [booing] for revenge. instead i ask the american people to vote for love of country. [cheers and applause]
6:25 am
>> usa! usa! usa! usa!. >> we have got to lead america back to a better place. our motto, united we stand, this is, this is out of one, excuse me, out of many one. this unity is a fundamental principle of america. we've got to restore it. and so we're one day away from a fresh start. [cheers and applause] >> one more day!. one more day!. >> one day away for the first day of a new beginning. my conviction that better days are ahead and it is not based on, not based on
6:26 am
promises or rhetoric but based on solid plans and proven results and unshakable faith in the american people. now if there is anybody, if there is anybody who is worried that the last four years are the best we could do, or anyone who is fearing that the american dream is fading away, or if there is anyone who wonders whether better jobs and better paychecks are a thing of the past, i have a clear and unequivocal message, with the right leadership, america is about to come roaring back. [cheers and applause] we're americans. we can do anything. only thing that stands between us and some of the best years we ever imagined is lack of leadership. that is why we have elections. tomorrow is a moment, to look into the future and imagine what we can do to put the past four years
6:27 am
behind us and start building a new future. you saw the differences when president obama and i were side by side at the debates. [cheering] he says it has to be this way. i say it can't stay this way. he's offering excuses. i've got a plan. i can't wait to get started. he is hoping we'll settle. but americans don't settle. we build. woe aspire. we listen to the voice inside that says we can do better, a better job, a better life, a bigger better, country. that is what is in store with new leadership. [cheering] that better life is out there. it's waiting for us. our destiny, it is in your hands. tomorrow we get to work rebuilding our country. tomorrow we restore our
6:28 am
confidence and renew our conviction. tomorrow that confidence that we're on a solid path to steady improvement begins. confidence in college grads will be able to find a good job at the end of four years. [cheering] confidence that moms and dads that are working two jobs will have a shot at a better job. tomorrow, on november 6th, we come together for a better future. and on november 7th, we'll get to work. [cheering] now i would like you to reach across the street to that neighbor with the other campaign's yard sign. and we'll reach across the aisle in washington to people of good faith in the other party. this is such a critical time. it is so much more than just our moment. it is america's moment, of renewal and purpose and optimism. we've journeyed far and wide
6:29 am
in this campaign. and now we're almost home. one final push is going to get us there. we've known, we've known many long days and some short nights and now we're close. the door to a brighter future is open. it's waiting for us. i need your vote. i need your help. walk with me. tomorrow we begin a new tomorrow. god bless you all. god bless florida. god bless orlando. we're going to take back this country and make it strong. and proud, and prosperous. thank you so very much. thank you, guys. thank you. [cheers and applause] martha: mitt romney in florida today. he will go to ohio. he will go to virginia. he will try to close the deal on something he has been wanting for two round of presidential elections. he is definitely promoting a large vision for america,
6:30 am
saying that he not only has that vision but he also has plans to enact it. he is acting people to walk with him on november the 6th as they go to the voting booth and place their vote for the next president of the united states. it does not get get anymore interesting than this, folks in looking at american politics. this is a neck-and-neck race for the presidency and mitt romney has just outlined what he thinks is at stake in terms of the future of america, saying he will be someone who reaches across the aisle, who works with other members of congress. he says he has a plan to get america moving again and he wants to put that in motion come november the 7th. he shakes hands in florida. there will be no rest for either of these campaigns over the coming 24 hours or rest of us watching all this play out. coming up rudy giuliani will be with us. we'll get his reaction to where things stand today and what he thinks also about the recovery from hurricane sandy, an element in all of
6:31 am
this to some extent. bill: also, how is the house speaker doing these days? john boehner, i met with him as he barn storms across ohio, the final weekend, last minute get-out-the-vote effort for governor romney. what he predicts for the house, what he predicts for his home state. >> mitt is the guy who understands how to create jobs. he also understands what big government can do to stifle job creation in our country. he is the perfect man at the perfect time to get america back to work. >> perfect man? >> perfect man. no question. [ male announcer ] when was the last time something made your jaw drop?
6:32 am
campbell's has 24 new soups that will make it drop over, and over again. ♪
6:33 am
from jammin' jerk chicken, to creamy gouda bisque. see what's new from campbell's. it's amazing what soup can do. i've got a nice long life ahead. big plans. so when i found out medicare doesn't pay all my medical expenses, i looked at my options. then i got a medicare supplement insurance plan. [ male announcer ] if you're eligible for medicare, you may know it only covers about 80% of your part b medical expenses. the rest is up to you. call now and find out about an aarp medicare supplement insurance plan, insured by unitedhealthcare insurance company. like all standardized medicare supplement plans, it helps pick up some of what medicare doesn't pay. and could save you thousands in out-of-pocket costs. to me, relationships matter. i've been with my doctor for 12 years. now i know i'll be able to stick with him. [ male announcer ] with these types of plans, you'll be able to visit any doctor or hospital
6:34 am
that accepts medicare patients. plus, there are no networks, and you never need a referral to see a specialist. so don't wait. call now and request this free decision guide to help you better understand medicare... and which aarp medicare supplement plan might be best for you. there's a wide range to choose from. we love to travel -- and there's so much more to see. so we found a plan that can travel with us. anywhere in the country. [ male announcer ] join the millions of people who have already enrolled in the only medicare supplement insurance plans endorsed by aarp, an organization serving the needs of people 50 and over for generations. remember, all medicare supplement insurance plans help cover what medicare doesn't pay. and could save you thousands a year in out-of-pocket costs. call now to request your free decision guide. and learn more about the kinds of plans that will be here for you now -- and down the road.
6:35 am
i have a lifetime of experience. so i know how important that is. martha: one wildcard in the selection could be the impact of hurricane sandy. nearly two million people in new york and new jersey remain without power a week later. and that is forcing election officials to overcome big challenges in some of the most devastated areas ahead of tomorrow's voting, even bringing back national guard trucks to help in the rescue efforts for those still reeling from the storm. the election is just one more thing on their minds. >> it's really like, on the back burner. i don't know even what we're doing tuesday as far as voting. my school sup the block. i don't quite know yet. >> you knew it was coming a week in advance the same people who were, were planning for whatever, they also should have been planning an alternative
6:36 am
voting procedure. yes, that is priority over everything else. martha: a lot of unhappy people in new york and new jersey, devastated. look at these pictures. they just keep coming out, the details of all of this. the election officials have been working around the clock. they're trying at this point to get things in order. things about online voting and fax voting. nobody seems to know how that will all work. we'll stay on top of it. bill: good luck with that. rudy giuliani, mitt romney supporter. in eastern pennsylvania, good morning to you. quickly i want to touch on the storm. the president was praised for his reaction to it. parts of new york and new jersey are an absolute mess. what do you think of the response? >> well i think the response since the time the president got all his praise and credit and, press on has been abysmal. fema is as much a failure now as it was at the time of
6:37 am
katrina. i do not understand why there is not enough water in new york. all you have to do to get water to new york is put it on an airplane and fly it to kennedy air pour. all you have to do to get more generators it put it on an airplane and fly it to kennedy airport. you will you make sure you have enough gasoline is have a plan to get gas to new york. obviously they didn't preplan for the water. they didn't preplan for the generators. they didn't preplan for the gasoline. the answer is they didn't preplan. what do we have fema for if not for preplanning. the president getting all the credit, the minute he got dread and -- credit and pat on the back. same situation as benghazi. he loses focus. goes back to campaigner in chief rather than commander-in-chief. bill: this was you on friday night. westchester, ohio, southwestern part of the state. i was at the rally when i heard you say the following about president obama.
6:38 am
>> he told us he would resign if he did this poorly. do you remember that? do you remember that he told us that if he couldn't get employment above 6% he wouldn't run for a second term. he lies. he has been a disaster. bill: you went on to say the worst president our economy in our lifetime. he doesn't want a second term. he wants a second chance. now you've been out there. you have been talking to people. visiting these various battleground states. who wins tomorrow, mr. mayor? >> oh, i think you can see the difference. the president asking his people to take revenge as against a candidate who is talking about voting for love of country? one sounds like a desperate man, barack obama. who knows he has been a failure for four years. who knows he is covering up
6:39 am
benghazi on purpose, which is disgraceful. and the other hand you have a man talking about uniting us, talking about sensible pro-growth policies, looks confident. i think, i think mitt romney knows he is peaking at exactly the right time. i think obama's people are telling him, mr. president this may not work out because he looks pretty desperate. if you're asking people to vote for revenge, when you, when the president of the united states is asking for people to vote as revenge, you got to know that's pretty desperate. bill: mr. mayor, thank you. rudy giuliani back on the trail today. >> thank you. bill: thank you, sir. or maybe not. could be a long, long night. we'll see you soon. martha: we will see, right? governor romney as we just showed you a little while ago wrapping up an event in battleground florida. then he will be off to virginia, which of course is another swing state. neck-and-neck across the country when you look at the battleground states, folks.
6:40 am
why mitt romney is going after president obama's campaign slogan. bill: you know what it comes down to? martha: what's that? bill: they say it comes down to ohio but who really knows. but it could be one of the biggest prizes tomorrow. we'll talk with a man who knows the buckeye state so well, like the back of his hand. speaker boehner is next. to be clear, if ohio goes for romney, you believe he is the next question. >> no question. bill: if that is the case, how do you two work together?
6:41 am
6:42 am
feeling isolated because your family and friends find it difficult to talk with you? discover the siemens difference with eclipse, a giant leap forward in hearing technology eclipse hearing aids are fine-tuned with such precision they're like high-definition for your ears. hear rich, crystal-clear sound without that muffled-effect you get with other hearing aids. so now you can connect with family and friends again effortlessly. siemens eclipse fit so comfortably and are nearly invisible
6:43 am
they'll change your life. eclipse from siemens: pure, natural sound you're going to love the moment you put them on and for many years to come. call... for a special $200 rebate. that number again... and discover siemens eclipse hearing aids today. martha: governor romney firing up crowds in the swing state of virginia yesterday. he will go back there later on today. he is taking a shot at president obama's campaign slogan. take a look. >> president obama has tried to convince you that these last four years have been a success. and so his plan for the next four years is to take all of the ideas from the first four years like obamacare and the stimulus, all the borrowing and all the rest
6:44 am
and do it all over again. and he calls that plan, he calls it as you know, forward. i call it forewarned. [cheering] martha: kirsten powers, "daily beast" columnist and fox news contributor. tony sayegh, former aide to jack kemp. thanks for both of you joining us this morning. you can sense the excitement as we're 24 hours away. governor romney trying to make his final sale to voters in florida just then. tony, the prognosticators are all over the map. this is as tight as it can get. how does it look to you, right now? >> martha, it is tight. obviously who is worth their grain of salt can not affirmatively one way or the other based on polls. so you have to look at other variables. what i'm looking at makes me really believe mitt romney is very good position to be next president of the united
6:45 am
states is his stand among independent voters. these are voters not totally affiliated to one party or another. who reviewed both men. who honestly is better for the next four years, mitt romney even in democratic polls is showing an advantage among independents by 16 points. some polls by 22. martha: tony, let me jump in. how do you explain that? how do you explain the advantage with independents, when you look at head-to-head, many cases president obama has a one percentage, one point gain, lead? >> that is a great question that should be asked of those who conduct the methodology of these polls. a lot of these polls have advantage democrats of d plus 9, d plus 7. showing a real strong favorability to democrats in the poll based on obviously models from 2008 that are probably not going to hold up. the other thing you have to remember we have very different electorate than 2008. we have a gain of 2 percentage points for republican as across the country. with enthusiasm being up and
6:46 am
republicans being up more republicans voting in this election not properly accounted for in these polls. that's why i'm telling you, martha, don't get caught up in the horse race numbers. anyone who knows how to read those polls don't view those has as a primary indicator. romney has double-digit leads among independents in ohio. martha: romney folks are definitely feeling emboldened by those numbers that tony talks about, kirsten but you don't hear anything who doesn't have sort of a hint of caution in their voice on either side. actually i talk to plenty of democrats are are pretty confident obama will win. they may not say that publicly. i talk to republicans very confident that romney will win. they're both doing it off internal polling. what we'll have to wait and see who has weighted these polls properly. i mean that is really what it comes down to. they're based on really different turnout models. i think on the independent
6:47 am
yes, i'm not a pollster. you definitely should have a pollster definitely sit down and explain this but i think part of the issue is that, first of all i would ignore the national polls. i would look just at the state polls, in the battleground states. and what you will see in some of those states there are more democrats than there are independents. so while nationally there are more, it is pretty much split three ways that isn't the case in every single state. so, i would be looking more closely at state polls. and again those may be, biased. i don't mean biased in a partisan way. i mean biased in the sense that they believe that --. martha: not giving accurate reflection what happens tomorrow. >> so the only way that romney wins if those polls have been completely weighted in the absolute wrong way. and i think that they're based on the idea that the electorate has changed in a different way in a sense that it's a less white, there is going to be a
6:48 am
different type of turnout. >> thanks so much, you guys. we'll be talking to you when all this is behind us. we'll see where we all ended up. kirsten, thank you. tony, thank you. bill: martha, in minutes from now we head arguably to the most important state in the race, one word, ohio. as governor romney wraps up an event in florida, we're back in a moment after this. >> for the first time in four years every entrepreneur, every small business person, every job creator, is going to know that the president of the united states and our government likes them and likes the jobs they helped bring to americans. [cheers and applause] are you receiving a payout from a legal settlement
6:49 am
or annuity over 10 or even 20 years? call imperial structured settlements. the experts at imperial can convert your long-term payout into a lump sum of cash today. @ you can't argue with nutrition you can see. great grains. great grains cereal starts whole and stays whole. see the seam? more pcessed flakes look nothing like natural grains. i'm eating what i kn is better nutrition. mmmm. great grains. search great grains and see for yourself.
6:50 am
6:51 am
martha: so the biggest prize in the battle for the white house likely will be ohio but there are battles in congress including all
6:52 am
435 races in the u.s. house. i was with the house speaker this weekend for this exclusive interview only hours from the big vote. we met a confident john boehner working his home district in ohio. >> like what you're doing. bill: the house speaker greeting volunteers in a final and critical get-out-the-vote effort for mitt romney and boldly predicting romney will win ohio. to be clear if ohio goes for mitt romney believe he is the next president? >> oh, no question. bill: if that is the case how do you two work together? >> mitt romney and i frankly agree where this country needs to go and what we need to do. whether it is fixing the entitlement crisis, fixing our tax code, getting our spending under control, making sure that we, make a goal of being energy sufl sufficient, all of these things we agree on but we've got a lot of work to do. bill: that is like his five-point plan, then?
6:53 am
>> his five-point plan isn't much different than the plan i and house republicans have been talking about for two years. bill: that is interesting. have you talked to him specifically about that. >> oh, yes. bill: meeting conversations. >> talking about mitt rom moye? bill: mitt romney. >> of course. they don't draw up the plans out of thin air. bill: give me a sense of those meetings and conversations. what are they like? >> mitt is a guy who understands how to create jobs. he also understands what big government can do to stifle job creation in our country. he is the perfect man at the perfect time to get america back to work. bill: perfect man? >> perfect man at the perfect time, wow. >> no question. >>. bill: speaker boehner spent the last 45 days on the road including 13 stops and more than a thousand miles in the battleground of ohio. that's where mr. boehner unveiled a new bus with a simple logo, more jobs, more
6:54 am
freed many do. he knows these roads well, serving the people who live here is 22 years. what is not known well is his history with governor romney. >> he is the real thing. bill: what is your relationship like with him? >> i have known him for 15, 16 years. cordial. i wouldn't say we're the closest of friends but we understand each other very well and we worked together well. frankly i have no, no doubts that we'll continue to work together well. bill: what do you think of the campaign he has run? >> his campaign is solid. defeating an incumbent president is an overwhelming job. just ask john kerry. it's, it's really hard to do. bill: boehner has a huge job. delivering ohio's invaluable 18 electoral votes and helping his house members win re-election. as he led us into one much ohio's famous chile restaurants, he is well aware the political verdict of this election is almost here. bill: will you be speaker of
6:55 am
the house come 2013? >> we will hold our majority and i expect i will continue to be speaker. bill: you're about 25 seats right now to the plus side. will you increase that or lose seats? >> we picked up 65 seats from the democrats in the last cycle. the most of any one party since 1938. so all the experts are talking about how many seats we'll lose, five, 10, 15. i never been into the idea that we had to lose seats. so i'm doing everything i can to make sure we lose none. how it turns out, i don't know, but our team is doing real well across the country. bill: what does your gut tell you though? >> my gut tells me we're doing good. i'm not going to give you any numbers because i don't have any numbers. bill: that is as far as you want to go right now but you say -- >> i don't want to lose one net seat. i just don't want to do it. and i worked hard. so has our team and our leadership team, all across the country. our members, our candidates, we're doing good. bill: to put a punctuation point on that this is
6:56 am
boehner and romney on a friday night rally in boehner's hometown of westchester, ohio. he was there to greet him and all the republican royalty on stage fanning out across the country. there is a possibility if the polls are right, and it is all this close and it is 269-269 on wednesday morning you know what happens? martha: it's a long week. bill: it goes into the u.s. house of representatives and speaker boehner could coronate the next president of the united states. martha: vice president would be interesting question as well, in that case because that would come from the senate. we'll see what happens. so how about this. one of america's largest newspapers abandoning president obama in favor of his republican rival? why a growing list is now turning their back on the man who offered hope and change just four years ago. interesting editorial on all of that. plus several political forecasters out there issuing their predictions because that's what they do who will win tomorrow. but our own brit hume says victory comes down to only
6:57 am
one thing, folks. he's here, minutes away. [ male announcer ] when these come together, and these come together, one thing you can depend on is that these will come together. delicious and wholesome. some combinations were just meant to be. tomato soup from campbell's. it's amazing what soup can do. >> announcer: meet jill. she thought she'd feel better after seeing her doctor. and she might have, if not for kari, the identity thief who stole jill's social security number to open credit cards, destroying jill's credit and her dream of retirement. now meet amanda. with a swipe of her debit card, she bought some gas... and an all-expense-paid trip to hawaii for ben. ben is the intity thief who used a device called
6:58 am
a skimmer to steal her formation from her card to open a fraudulent account. every year millions of americans just like you learn that a little personal information in the wrong hands could wre havoc on your life. this is identity theft, and no one helps stop it better than lifelock. lifelock offers the most comprehensive identity theft protection available. ordinary credit monitoring services tell you after your identity has been stolen; they may take 30 days to alert you! too late for amanda. with lifelock's 24/7 proactive protection, jill would have been alerted as soon as they noticed an attack in their network, before it was too late. and lifelock's bank account takeover alerts would have notified amanda in time to help protect her money. lifelock guards your social security number, your money, your credit, even the equity in your home. while identity theft can't be completely stopped, no one protects you better than lifelock. and lifelock stands behind that, with the power of their
6:59 am
$1 million service guarantee. you have so much to protect, and nothing to lose when you call lifelock right now and try 60 days of identity theft protection risk-free. 60 days risk-free! use promo code: onguard. order now, and get this document shredder, a $29 value, free! call or go online now. [♪...] ♪ [ male announcer ] it's time for medicare open enrollment. are you ready? time to compare plans and see what's new. you don't have to make changes, but it's good to look. maybe you can find better coverage, save money, or both. and check out the preventive benefits you get after the health care law. ♪ medicare open enrollment. now's the time. visit or call 1-800-medicare.
7:00 am
♪ martha: the president at marathon is nearing the finish line as both sides head out on the final leg to the battleground states. new hour starts of "america's newsroom" i'm martha maccallum. bill: i'm bill hemmer. we are driving ourselves crazy with this stuff. martha: we can't help it. bill: the president trying to win over as many last minute voters, as they possibly can. in my world this is a tie, martha, the president with 47.9, governor romney with 47.4. moments ago governor romney making his closing argument by promising in florida now to deliver on one of the president's own pledges from 2008. >> that's why i'm running for president. i know how to change the course the nation is on.
7:01 am
i know how to get us to a balanced budget and how to build jobs and make rising take home pay happen again. accomplishing real change is not something i just talk b it is something i havabout, it is something i will do as president of the unitette states. martha: how do they still have their voices hanging on there. chief correspondent ed henry traveling with the president. what us the mood this morning with 24 hours to go inside of president obama's team? >> well they are tense but excited as well. they think they will have a big victory tomorrow. this is the president's last full day of campaign ever. win or lose tomorrow he's in the going to try to come back in 2016 if he loses tomorrow. this is all about finishing strong if you will. he was blurry i'd getting back
7:02 am
at 3:00am getting into add son, wisconsin after campaigning 22 hours. he was on stage with stevie wonder, feeling good and confident in the last few hours. bruce springsteen will be behind me in wisconsin trying to use the celebrity factor and bring out the key vote. he's trying to tell voters that this is all about trust. take a listen. >> here is the thing. a part of a presidential race is about policy, and part of it is about trust. you've got to have a sense of whether or not the person means what they say, and say what they mean. and the thing is, colorado, after four years you know me. >> reporter: obviously the romney camp in recent days has
7:03 am
been trying to turn that trust question around on the president and saying in stories like benghazi with four americans killed, trust with the president is on the table. the economy also. they are getting the band back together, i was told by robert gibbs, reggie love some of the former white house staffers people around in the 2008 campaign will be aboard air force one today for the final sprint, try to get the band back together, martha. martha: you can imagine the mood on that plane as they look at another term or not another term. everyone will know the answer hopefully in a couple of days. bill: the vice presidental come niece out in full force, congressman paul ryan at a campaign stop in castle rock, colorado reminding the crowd of the promises made by candidate president obama during the 2008 national convention which took place in denver. >> he said he'd create all these
7:04 am
jobs. he gotten to office, remember his party controlled everything. you see, the obama economic agenda, it didn't fail because it was stopped, it failed because it was passed. bill: paul ryan has five stops today on the calendar but joe biden also making the case for his ticket. the vp predicting to battleground voters in ohio that tomorrow night will simply be the culmination of major problems for republicans that he says began back with the presidential debates. >> congressman ryan and governor romney, they are running away so fast from everything they stood for it's like a kid trying to outrun his shadow in the middle of the day, man. the only time you can do that is when the curtain comes down is nightfall and that's going to occur for them on tuesday night. [cheers and applause] martha: vice president biden seems to think that the race is in the bag for his party and his
7:05 am
administration with president obama. there is a growing consensus among political experts that given the wealth of conflicting political data in these final days, here is what they know, that they don't know anything. there is not one person alive who can say which party will go home with the win come night. brit hume joins me now, fox news senior political analyst. good to see you. >> thank you. martha: have you ever seen this feeling as tense as it is and sort of everybody all over the map with 24 hours to go? >> it was pretty tense in 04 and pretty tight. we had that episode in 2004 when the early exit polling point towed a john kerry win, eyes top aides congratulated him. may be the first to call you mr. president, and of course he turned out not to be mr. president. that was tense particularly in the afternoon when commit polling information came n. i don't think i've ever seen a race where everybody is as
7:06 am
uncertain as they are and there's been as much contradicting and conflicting, poll data, other data, polls that look hinky and strange, which has made this thing to a great many analysts bee willed tkerg. martha: i looked at larry sabato's numbers this morning he's at 290 he believes the president will win. michael baron is at 203 on the romney side. he says he's going out on a limb and believes that will happen. somebody is going to be right and somebody is going to be wrong between all of these guys of course on tuesday morning. >> reporter: what is interesting is that neither of those is for a massive win on either side. we new in 2008 how this was going, it was a matter of how much. we don't know that now. the curious thing is what rile is, who really composes this election torthis election threat? is this an election threat that
7:07 am
has as many democrats as the polls suggest? you have poll numbers saying the democrats will out number the republicans in the voting by a larger margin than they did in some cases in the election of 2008. a lot of people don't believe that is possible. you have poll after poll in state after state and even national polls have point ned that direction, which is why a lot of people are skeptical of these polls. it doesn't mean they are wrong, but it really would be quite a remarkable achievement if president obama, with the difficult times this nation is dealing with after four years of him in office will turn out a greater number of democrats than he did four years ago when everything was going in his direction. martha: it's interesting, to listen to the phrases of the final arguments being made out there given everything you just said. we saw president obama basically saying, who do you trust? he says, you know me, you know who i am, kolt colorado, and
7:08 am
you've watched me at work. and you have mitt romney saying i want to bring real change. let's judge the president based upon what you know about him essentially and let's get after those polls and bring about real change. i'm fascinated about what motivates him and what brings out these voters and who they turn out to be, which groups. >> we don't know. the closing message is interesting in another way as well. mitt romney has gone all positive, at least in the main emphasis points of his message. yes he criticizes the obama record and so on, but he's got this sort of up lifting-sounding message that either going to. the president is saying, you know me, you trust me, which is interesting, i think a lot of people after four years may like and admire president obama and many people do, i think he is admirable and likable, don't feel they know him that he remains a puzzling fellow, a supposedly dazzling o orator who comes to the first debate
7:09 am
fat and uninterested. easy loose i have to a lot of people. he asked for trust. he made a lot of promises and a lot of them have not come true. is that a basis for asking for trust and that you know me? a lot of people don't think so. martha: we'll be watching with great interest and listening to you, sir throughout the next 48 hours. bill: the frustration is boiling over a week after sandy. a million people without power in the east and temperatures are dropping. david lee miller is live in one of the most hardest hit areas, that is brooklyn, new york. what is happening there today? >> reporter: we are talking a great deal now about the election. i can tell you that folks here in the red-hook section of brooklyn aren't worried about voting tomorrow, they are worried about surviving. the storm damage is visible now, the waters have receded, there is very little help on the ground. there are thousands of people in need of help. there are thousands and thousands of people who live in
7:10 am
red hook in public housing. the conditions they say after the storm are now deplorable and that's what we saw. we had to climb a stairwell ten flights. there were no emergency lights, there was debris in the stairwell, there was human waste in the stairwell. we were told that a rape had taken place there earlier. we entered the apartment of one of the residents, she was heating her apartment with her oven. she said she had the gas on throughout the weekend, extremely dangerous. other residename thing, no running water, no toilet facilities. the only food that she nidal malik hasan been provided sporadically she said from the national guard. then we talked to her briefly house her apartment house and she told us that she is in desperate need of help. listen now to her words. >> somebody has to help us. somebody in the world has to do something. because we shouldn't be like this. this is not right for us to live this way. we have to come downstairs just to get our phone recharged from
7:11 am
at&t. and then it be so packed that you have to wait on a long line, sometimes the line is all the way to the corner just to get some food. you know, it's sad, it's so sad, and then nobody is here, nobody is here to help. i don't know what else to say, it's terrible. it's so terrible. >> reporter: the bottom line, bill, no one can tell her when the lights are going to come back on and when she is going to get the help she needs. bill: it's remarkable to hear and she is one of so many. what are the others telling you, david lee? >> reporter: i talked to a man just a few moments ago, the first thing he told me, or he asked me i should say, where is mayor bloomberg? he wants to talk to the mayor. and then also in this building i talked to another resident and you can hear her own words as she holds in her hands her eight-month-old infant. listen to what she had to say. >> it's cold, there's no water, and it's very cold at night.
7:12 am
and it's cold for him. i don't want him to get sick. >> reporter: how old is he? >> eight months. again, residents here in desperate need of help. the housing projects roughly house about 5,000 people in a community of 11,000. we expect that in the next few hours the national guard is going to arrive here and distribute some food. for many it's too little too late. they say more help is needed on the ground. bill: david lee, thank you, your reporting is very important. martha: governor chris christie responding to criticism from some conservatives after the new jersey governor praised president obama's handling of the super storm. governor christie reminded people who he is voting for. here he is. >> i endorsed mitt romney 13 months ago because i thought he was the best guy for the job and on tuesday i'm voting for mitt romney. it doesn't mean that i can't turn to the president of the
7:13 am
united states to america and say thank you, sir, for providing good leadership in this crisis and for helping the people of new jersey, and to extend my hand of friendship to him. martha: that in response to a question from rick leventhal. governor christie was the first governor to put his support behind mitt romney. bill: one of america's largest newspapers growing a list of media outlets jumping ships and going with mitt romney. will that change any voters' minds? we'll debate that in moments. martha: what is the path to victory? that is the question. karl rove will break down the scenarios that could play out in the electoral college. >> president obama asked his supporters to vote for revenge. [booing ] >> for revenge. instead i ask the american people to vote for love of country. [cheers and applause]
7:14 am
7:15 am
7:16 am
7:17 am
martha: one of the country's largest newspapers is now joining a growing number of media outlets switching their endorsement from pwez t president obama to mitt romney. the new york news leans democrat. they said we valued president obama's pledge to govern with bold pragmatistm and bayh partisanship. the hopes of those days were unfulfilled. the new york centennial has come out with switches inch terms of their endorsement over to governor romney. let's see what our two friends think about this. steve haze is a weekl writer at "the weekly standard."
7:18 am
steve, let me start with you. >> it's interesting. it's certain hraoet case that certainly interesting that we are seeing newspapers twitch from the obama side to the romney side than seeing things go the other way the question is are these newspapers per swaeugd the viewers or reflect being the views of their readers. is it the case that what we are seeing in the editorial page switches is representative of what we might be seeing in the swing states from voters who were obama supporters in 2008 and are not only not going to vote for president obama again but come out and vote for mitt romney. that is the question. martha: you get a big-pick feeling when you read these editorials. i'm reminded of caroline kennedy's editorial backing president obama when he was running, that she had not seen anyone like this since her father and she was reminded of all the thins she was told by her dad when she was growing up. that feeling is not there any more. i don't think that that is going
7:19 am
too far out on a limb. the president has four years under his belt now and is being judged very differently by some of these people who were very gaga, over the moon for this candidate last time around. >> it's inevitable you'll have more newspapers switching, martha, the level of exaoeuplt and thexcitement and the newness of the obama campaign in 2008 does not match what is going on for a sitting president. the most notable newspaper is in winston salem where that newspaper that endorsed mccain is not endorsing obama. i think there is much more for obama to lose going from 2008 to today. what is interesting to me about the influence of this is people judge the publication, its credibility and pay attention to the argument. there are fewer newspaper readers overall but when you look at the newspaper's argument i think people have to make a
7:20 am
judgment. in new york the daily news said the economy is the whole teufpblgt i don't think people will argue too much about that, although given the new york democratic roots i don't think they'll change new york from a obama state to a romney state. martha: i think, steve, your point is well-taken. are they sort of picking up on the sentiment of the people in their state? you also point out that the papers that have made big switches several of them are in battleground states. it used to be that an editorial could hold a lot of sway, could lead people in one direction. we may find out the horse is pulling the cart from the other direction. >> when the des moines register which hadn't endorsed a republican going back to the nixon era makes an endorsements, the endorsement carries weight not just because of the actual argument, but people are talking about what the actual argument is. you've had conversations the
7:21 am
past couple of days that the des moines register and other newspapers have endorsed mitt romney. while i'm skeptical that newspaper endorsements sway an election, the fact that people are talking about it, it is a prominent switch, that is what is important. martha: thank you, both. bill: both campaigns can make an argument that they are going to win tomorrow and that is part of the last-minute drama we hear. >> when you're an incumbent under 50 and well under 50 that is a bad place to be. >> they can spin it anyway they want. what i'm looking at is cold, hard date a. stpho: it's getting good. why are both sides so confident? one will clearly be wrong after tuesday, if it's settled on tuesday. "fox news sunday" anchor chris wallace here to analyze that. martha: on the eve of the election fox news out on the look out for voter fraud. we are live in ohio with more on what officials are doing to
7:22 am
insure a fair elections across this country. we'll see what happens. we'll be right back, "america's newsroom," after this. begin. tomato, obviously. haha. there's more than that though, there's a kick to it. wahlalalalallala! smooth, but crisp. it's kind of like drinking a food that's a drink, or a drink that's a food, woooooh! [ male announcer ] taste it and describe the indescribable. could've had a v8. or annuity over 10 or even 20 years? call imperial structured settlements. the experts at imperial can convert your long-term payout into a lump sum of cash today.
7:23 am
so, which supeast 4g lte service would yochoose, based on this chart ? don't rush into it, i'm not looking for the fastest answer. obviously verizon. okay, i have a different chart. going that way, does that make a difference ? look at verizon. it's so much more than the other ones. so what if we just changed the format altogether ? isn't that the exact same thing ?
7:24 am
it's pretty clear. still sticking with verizon. verizon. more 4g lte coverage than all other networks combined.
7:25 am
7:26 am
tampering. the clerk is suspected of filling in the blanks that voters left empty on their ballots. oregon's secretary of state kay brown is sending in election monitors. >> i want or bega organ citizenoregon citizens to know we are taking this very seriously. >> in ohio there are questions about this vacant lot. it turns out 18 people are registered to vote from here. the owner of the lot tells us a trailer park was taken out three
7:27 am
years ago. the ohio integrity project has challenged those because they believe they could be used for voter fraud. >> it makes me angry that nobody has done anything about this. the more we bring it to people's attention the more they want to talk about disinch franchising thdisinch diseven frandisinch franchising the voter. it's ridiculous. we want to clean this up. >> i this all will be under investigation. if you suspect problems where you live here is our address, voter fraud at bill: thank you. eric shawn there in northern, ohio in medina, martha. martha: the line to vote is growing well before the voting is open. it wraps around the block.
7:28 am
they want to make sure their voices are heard. bill: a multitude of ou outcome of votes is expected. karl rove is on standby, he has his map out. he's put his math together and will tell us in a moment what that means, after this. [ male announcer ] if you're eligible for medicare,
7:29 am
now is a good time to think about your options. are you looking for a plan that really meets your needs and your budget?
7:30 am
as you probably know, medicare only covers about 80% of your part b medical expenses. the rest is up to you. so consider an aarp medicare supplement insurance plan, insured by unitedhealthcare insurance company. like all standardized medicare supplement plans, they cover some of what medicare doesn't pay. and could save you in out-of-pocket medical costs. call today to request a free decision guide to help you better understand medicare and which aarp medicare supplement plan works best for you. with this type of plan, you'll be able to visit any doctor or hospital that accepts medicare patients... plus, there are no networks, and you'll never need a referral to see a specialist. there's a range of plans to choose from, too. and they all travel with you. anywhere in the country.
7:31 am
join the millions who have already enrolled in the only medicare supplement plans endorsed by aarp, an organization serving the needs of people 50 and over for generations... and provided by unitedhealthcare insurance company, which has over 30 years of experience behind it. call today. remember, all medicare supplement plans help cover some of what medicare doesn't pay -- expenses that could really add up. these kinds of plans could save you in out-of-pocket medical costs. you'll be able to choose any doctor who accepts medicare patients. and you never need referrals. if you're thinking about your options, call today. when you call, request your free decision guide. and find the aarp medicare supplement plan that may be right for you. bill: and the board right now, we love to play this game of what if, frankly no one knows
7:32 am
right now. karl rove is with me now. welcome back to new york. we'll have a little bit of fun. you've been crunching numbers, later tonight on bret's show you'll reveal your final numbers. you're not ready yet. four or five hours you need -- >> i'm not rid. i'm not allow it to share with you. you're not cleared for this. bill: i accept that now. here is a what if scenario carl that we are going to put together. based on the battleground states the president is 201, governor romney 191. if governor romney does not win ohio how does he win the white house? let's put this in motion right now. let's say he has to win in florida 29 electoral votes, right. would you say he wins north carolina at 15. >> yep. bill: does he win in virginia, yes or no. >> yes. bill: by a hair. >> by a hair and wins florida by a margin of 2%, 2.8. bill: now you're 22 electoral votes away from winning the white house.
7:33 am
where do you grow right now to get the remaining? do you win pennsylvania? if you do you're at 268. that would be something republicans haven't done since 1988. let me move west. i'll give him colorado, he's at 257. of the remaining states on the board between nevada, iowa, wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania, new hampshire, what is the best scenario that you see, or maybe the more likely scenario to get him from 257 to a minimum of 269? >> iowa, new hampshire. bill: okay, we'll give him iowa with 6 electoral votes and new hampshire checks in at 4. and would put him at 267. >> right. bill: you. bill: you still have nevada, wisconsin, michigan. is the most likely scenario there, is it wisconsin or what would you argue? >> wisconsin or nevada. i know that nevada is going to be very close, the democrats have got even about the base number that they need for a lead in early voting, but republican
7:34 am
enthusiasm as am in the cow counties is high. it's going to be a narrow victory for either side. i think the most likely is nevada and wisconsin. bill: what is the likely scenario for the president? he's going to three different states today. he's at 201, okay. so if he were to go to wisconsin, ohio, and iowa just today, so give him wisconsin, iowa, and the state of ohio, he's at 237. so on the remaining map here you see these strategies in the final moments now and where they pick and where they go and the reasons why. say the president were to pick pennsylvania, he's at 255. and so now at this moment based on this scenario and all the polling we have seen maybe he takes michigan. that would be enough to get him to 271. >> this shows the centrality of ohio. i don't think he's going to carry ohio. i've been food link on th7,000
7:35 am
democrats turned out in the early voting. i believe these numbers are saturday night. 576,000 democrats turned out. that is 145,000 less than four years ago, but already 472,000 republicans have turned out, that -- excuse me 492,000, that is 119,000 more, that is a swing of 265,000 votes, which is more than the president carried the state by. he carried it by over 300,000 votes in the early vote, lost election day to mccain, and won the state by 262,000 votes, but already that margin has been more than wiped out by the decline in what the democrats have had and the increase in what republicans have done in early voting. we still have sunday and monday numbers to go. that number, that swing number has been growing slightly because obviously you do have more democrats voting, reducing the deficit they have from 08 pace but you have more republicans voting as well which increases the lead they have
7:36 am
over their turn out in 08. bill: that's specific to ohio. >> it's happening everywhere. there is a usa today story today pointing out that there is a decline for the democrats in early voting. the numbers i'm looking at indicate that roughly a 10% lead in early voting last time around has been more than cut in half. remember the president won last name around by 7 points. if you drop his number down 5 and grow his opponent's number 5 he goes into deficit and loses. bill: is that specific to ohio? and what was the last date that you picked up that early voting data? was that saturday or yesterday? >> the 10% number is nationwide, 10% cut to 5. the numbers that i gave you of the democrats being 145,000 fewer and republicans being 119,000 more is as of saturday night i have not yet picked up sunday and won't pick up monday until maybe tomorrow morning.
7:37 am
i've been watching this trend for a week and a half, what has happened is the republican, that swing number has gone from about 230,000 over the last ten or 11 days to 265,000, that is to say the number of republicans voting over what they voted in 2008 has been growing at a faster clip than the democrat efforts to close the gap with what they turn out in 08. bill: that was a 260,000 vote margin from 2008. >> right. bill: specifically in ohio. >> that's correct. bill: i think early voting was open four hours yesterday on sunday and i think four more hours today. >> and i would expect that republican gap to narrow a little bit because i think they will have a lot of the african-american churches on sunday being bussed to the early vote polls and so forth in ohio but i don't think it's going to be diminished by more than a couple of thousand. we'll go into election day with the democrats -- they'll win election day but they will win it by a significantly smaller
7:38 am
number than they did four years ago i expect republicans are going to win the election day in ohio. it's very likely to be so on tuesday. what is the delta for the democrat victory in the early vote versus what the republican delta is for election day. bill: i want to put a fine point on this. late on friday night you said ohio would be determined by between 80,000 and 110,000 votes. that is a smaller margin than how george bush beat john kerry in 2004. >> it is, but, look, it's also still a substantial victory. it will be a healthy number, and my gut is, but look, here is the deal about this. we are on the knife's edge for everybody. you take a look at last week of polls there are 23 national polls the average if you average all those polls together is 48.3 for romney to 48.1 for president obama that's as of literally half an hour ago. bill: it's tight. thank you. >> you bet. bill: see you in the hall.
7:39 am
karl rove crunching numbers. here is martha. at 6:00 tonight he's going to give his final math, don't miss that. he and joe trippi. thank you, karl. martha: fascinating. here we go. a presidential winner is decide before voters ever head to the polls in some cases, because everybody knows, you know, as they head out there exactly who they are going to pull the lever for. chris wallace will be here next. we'll talk about why both of the campaigns for each of these men claims victory already. and a new quest for justice after four americans are murdered in libya. why senator john mccain is not letting go of this story. he has made another call for a special investigation, why he says the white house's handling of benghazi could cost president obama the election. >> the only way you're going to get a full and complete investigation is a watergate-type of select committee that is bi-partisan and is in congressment you're no.
7:40 am
you're not going to get a straight story out of this administration.
7:41 am
7:42 am
7:43 am
>> arizona senator john mccain stepping up calls for a full investigation into the deadly attacks in libya. earlier today on fox & friends the senator even saying that the public's demand for answers to what happened in benghazi could affect the election. here he is. >> i'm seeing active duty people who come over and tell me, i've lost trust, i've lost trust in this commander-in-chief. i'm telling you, i don't know how much it affects the election, and i don't know what the voting block is, i know there are 1.6 million veterans in florida, they are angry, they have lost their trust in this commander-in-chief, and they want a full and complete investigation. bill: senator mccain and several top other republicans senators have sent letters to both the president and to the senate majority leader harry reid asking for a special committee to look into what led to the attack, and what about the white house's response on libya?
7:44 am
martha: both campaigns say unequivocally that they will indeed win tomorrow night. so on this monday before the vote let's look at what the top dogs of both campaigns told chris wallace on sunday. >> they understand that the traditional, or the battleground states on which we've been focusing are not working out for them, we are even or ahead in all of them, and now they are looking for somewhere, desperately looking for somewhere to try and dislodge some electoral votes to win this election and i can tell you that is not going to happen. >> i think it's going to become pretty clear that there is going to be a widespread repudiation of the obama administration and governor romney and congressman ryan will be elected the next president and vice president of united states. martha: somebody is going to be wrong, right? chris wallace is here, the anchor of ""fox news sunday"." david axelrod may not have that mustache come wednesday or he might, chris. what do you make of the posture
7:45 am
of both of these campaigns? >> reporter: the interesting thing is you certainly expect them to take that line on tv. i know some of these guys in both campaigns pretty well and i think from years of reporting i'm pretty good at telling who is bluffing and who is not, i will tell you when i talk to them privately, and i've got good source necessary both campaigns i think they both believe, both sides believe they are going to win. i think the obama camp thinks they are going to take hao*eud anohio and hold onto that fire wall in the midwest of ohio, iowa and wisconsin. i think the romney camp thinks they are going to win florida, virginia, north carolina and take ohio and/or pennsylvania. beason went onto say they are going to take 300 electoral votes, they are going to win big. i think they genuinely believe it. there is some confusion on both sides. romney today, the day before election is in florida and virginia. those are states you think he would have locked up weeks if not months ago. conversely you heard axlerod
7:46 am
kind of dismissing romney's trip to pennsylvania, on the other hand there is a new poll that shows dead even in pennsylvania. former president clinton is making four stops in pennsylvania today. i don't think they are taking pennsylvania for granted any more. martha: you're exactly right. you can make the argument that either side is making a somewhat desperate move in the final hours when you look at where they are traveling to and trying to read the tea leaves. what does this sort of most remind you of when you look back at prior presidential elections and what we've learned from perhaps thinking we knew what was going on. >> i'd like to make a joke, everyone keeps saying, you've been doing this for years, i feel like i should talk about the second lincoln campaign. martha: how was that anyway? >> in recent history i think 2000, 2004, dead even, ended up being decided by a single state. hundreds of votes in one state, about 60,000 in the think it's e races that is well within the
7:47 am
margin of error and it comes down to three possibilities, either one the polls are wrong. because in the "real clear politics" average of battleground states there are 12 battleground now when you add in minnesota, michigan and pennsylvania. in the 12 battle grounds obama high school a lead shall it's not a big lead between a point and four and five points in nine of the 12 battle grounds. i think either one the polls are wrong, they are over sampling democrats under sampling republicans. two the polls are right but the intensity and ground game for romney is so strong they will be able to over come that late of a couple of points, or three, obama is going to win. honestly i don't know which it is. martha: what you say about the romney campaign is very clear within the campaign, that they believe that they have this sort of -- cautiousness but a secret smile, like we know something that everybody else doesn't know and you'll all learn it on wednesday, and who knows if they are right. i'm curious because i'm going to be covering the exit polls and we'll all be looking at them of
7:48 am
course whether or not they will tell a story which is contrary to what we're seeing in the last polls and the next question is whether or not the exit polls are accurate. we've seen cases where they were not. >> that's right. and, you know, we can't always know. i can remember sitting in the room when we got the briefing in 2004 and it showed kerry winning in florida, and kerry i think he was ahead in virginia, and it looked at that point like it was going to be a kerry landslide and the kerry people got those first exit polls and some of them literally, some of the top aid started calling john kerry mr. president. whoops. we'll see what happens. you'll get an early sense. guys like karl rove are going to be looking at those exit polls and they'll see some things and that will give them a sense, well, you know is this looking like a romney night for a obama night? having said that, martha we're going to have to wait for some actual concerns in key bell weather count inks. fortunately for us the earliest once to report, virginia,
7:49 am
florida, pennsylvania, ohio they will be some of the earliest to report. we'll get an early sense of how it's going in the key swing states. martha: it's going to be a if's naturing night. do i have to remind you to tune in tomorrow night for the main event? rile. event. really megyn kelly, bret baier. we'll have analysis from chris wallace and the rest of the fox news teams include includes bill hemmer and martha maccallum. we have it covered for you starting at 6:00pm eastern time right here on the fox news khafpblt it will b channel. it will be a big night. bill: in this industry, in our business they are some of the owe owe election nights that is, some of the most dramatic days in our lives. martha: absolutely. chris was talking about -- bill: when you wait for the returns to come back and it's like bam. martha: remember when ohio was called in 04 and what a turning
7:50 am
moment that was. we are looking for most big moments tomorrow night. we'll see what they are. bill: long lines to vote in states with early voting. one state stepping in to try and fix this problem. oohooo....haha! oh...there you go. wooohooo....hahaahahaha! i'm gonna stand up to her! no you're not. i know. you know ronny folks who save hundreds of dollars switching to geico sure are happy. how happy are they jimmy? happier than a witch in a broom factory. get happy. get geico. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more.
7:51 am
music: "make someone happy" music: "make someone happy" ♪it's so important to make someone happy.♪ it's so important to make meone happy.♪ ♪make just one someone happy ♪and you will be happy too.
7:52 am
7:53 am
bill: long lines, early voting in three of the key swing states overt weekend. this is the scene in florida, ohio and north carolina where people waited up to nine hours to cast their ballot. man. big crowds turned out saturday for the final day of early voting, some polling stations stayed open well into the evening. ohio, at least 15,000 waited as
7:54 am
long as two hours, from friday to sunday. in florida the lines were so long that the democratic party filed a federal lawsuit to extend early voting in some of those polling places. >> i've been waiting here since 12:30 to pick up an absentee ballot and they are telling us we have to go home. that's ridiculous. >> i was the lucky one. i was the last one to vote. to have all these people here waying that is unfair. >> they said from 1:00 to 5:00, they announced they would not be doing any more. >> we are not set up for the volume of people that turned out. >> phil keating streams live in tampa, hillsborough county. good morning, phil. well, early voting technically ended at 7:00pm saturday night but today people are still votinger leave. i'm in hillsborough county here where tampa is, and the supervisor of elections says, well, early voting officially
7:55 am
ended but yes still people are early voting. it's called a different name at the stage ever the game. you go to the polling elections office and you request an inch-person absentee ballot. they give it to you. you circle in all the bubbles, you pick your candidates and constitutional amendments and give it back and technically you voted and it is early. the polls do open tomorrow 7 to 7 here in florida. miami-dade county announced yesterday afternoon, for four more years you can come over here and we can do it through absentee ballot voting. so many people same that he were overwhelmed at the dural voting center. miami-dade, broward, palm peach county are allowing people to come in and get ballots today as well as here in hillsboro.
7:56 am
it was 90,000 fewer votes voting early and absentees combined than in 2008, but still 4.4 million floridians have already cast their ballot, and that is about half of the anticipated voter turn out through tomorrow night. bill: crunch the numbers. phil keating thank you live in tampa florida, this morning there. martha: counting down to the moment of truth, president obama and governor mitt romney now in the process of delivering those closing arguments. ed rollins and lanny davis will weigh in. what may happen 12 hours away, folks. >> we are not going to less, we are not going to be happy until every person in this country who pwapbt wants a job can have one, until the recovery is complete across the country.
7:57 am
7:58 am
7:59 am
bill: are you going to sleep tonight? i guess we should. martha: we should, rig

Americas Election Headquarters
FOX News November 5, 2012 6:00am-8:00am PST

News/Business. New.

TOPIC FREQUENCY America 26, Us 26, Florida 23, New York 12, Ohio 11, Virginia 10, Pennsylvania 10, United States 8, Obama 8, Wisconsin 7, Boehner 6, Paul Ryan 6, Karl Rove 5, Benghazi 5, Mitt Romney 5, Lifelock 5, Iowa 4, Michigan 4, Usa 4, Medicare 3
Network FOX News
Duration 02:00:00
Scanned in San Francisco, CA, USA
Source Comcast Cable
Tuner Virtual Ch. 760 (FOX NEWS HD)
Video Codec mpeg2video
Audio Cocec ac3
Pixel width 1280
Pixel height 720
Sponsor Internet Archive
Audio/Visual sound, color

disc Borrow a DVD of this show
info Stream Only
Uploaded by
TV Archive
on 11/5/2012